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Is this the world’s first-ever meme bond?! You won’t believe what’s trending in the financial world!

The Emergence of Meme Bonds in the Investment Scene

In recent years, the world of finance has witnessed several innovations that have made investing cheaper, more accessible, and more exciting for individual investors. One of the latest trends that have swept the market is the emergence of meme bonds. These bonds are exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that use leverage to offer a higher return on long-term Treasuries. Meme bonds are also referred to as leveraged ETFs, as they amplify the daily performance of their underlying asset.

What are Meme Bonds?

Meme bonds derive their name from the phenomenon of internet memes, which are viral images or videos that spread rapidly through social media platforms. Similarly, meme bonds catch the attention of retail investors on social media platforms such as Reddit, Twitter, and Facebook. They offer a short-term trading opportunity with potentially high returns, making them attractive for individual investors looking for a quick profit. However, as with all investments, there are risks involved, particularly with meme bonds.

The Rise of Meme Bonds

Meme bonds have been gaining popularity among individual investors in recent years. The triple-leveraged ETF called Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF (TMF) has attracted a lot of attention from retail investors. Assets in TMF have more than doubled in value to $2 billion this year. This surge in popularity can be attributed to the momentum generated by the legendary Federal Reserve pivot on the way. Also, the fact that meme bonds have already made some retail investors rich is attracting more people to the investment.

The Downside of Meme Bonds

Despite the hype surrounding meme bonds, there is a downside to investing in these securities. Leveraged ETFs tend to be more volatile than other investments, such as index funds. This volatility means that meme bonds are more susceptible to significant losses when the market moves in the opposite direction. Furthermore, leveraged ETFs have higher management fees, making them more expensive to hold for an extended period.

The Implications of Meme Bonds

The rise of meme bonds represents a significant shift in the investment landscape. Meme bonds are providing retail investors with the opportunity to participate in complex investments that were once reserved for institutional investors. The trend suggests that investment marketing is changing faster than ever before, and retail investors are looking for more sophisticated investment options.

Could Meme Bonds Replace Traditional Bonds?

Meme bonds have been touted as a possible replacement for traditional bonds, especially in the long-term. However, this may not be the case as the volatility and risks associated with leveraged ETFs make them unsuitable for long-term investment. Traditional bonds, on the other hand, are more stable investments and offer a reliable source of income for investors.

Conclusion

The emergence of meme bonds in the investment scene marks a significant shift in the way retail investors perceive investments. Meme bonds have generated a lot of hype, attracting retail investors to participate in complex and high-return investments that were once reserved for institutional investors. However, meme bonds are also riskier than traditional investments, and their suitability for long-term investment is debatable. As the investment landscape continues to evolve, it remains to be seen whether this latest investment trend will change the way we invest in bonds or represent a fleeting trend that will eventually fade away.

Summary

Meme bonds are exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that use leverage to offer a higher return on long-term Treasuries. They have become popular among retail investors, particularly on social media platforms, due to their short-term trading opportunities and high potential returns. However, leveraged ETFs tend to be more volatile and expensive than other investments, making them unsuitable for long-term investment. Despite this, the trend of meme bonds represents a significant shift in investment marketing and suggests that retail investors are looking for more complex investment options.

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A year ago Gary Gensler was in London and in a speech on the SEC’s efforts to reform fixed income markets he jokingly complained that “there are no meme links, at least not yet”.

So, it’s not strictly speaking a simple vanilla bond. . . but does Alphaville think this could be a good competitor?

The cocaine bear in question is called the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares ETF. For those who aren’t talking financial gobbledegook, that means this is an exchange-traded fund managed by Direxion that uses leverage to offer three times the daily return of long-term Treasuries. You can read its prospectus here.

The problem with Leveraged ETFs is that they are also completely destroyed when the market moves in the opposite direction. And in the long run, high management fees and the constant roll of underlying derivatives tend to incinerate money. They are basically only useful as short-term trading tools for siblings with eToro and Robinhood accounts.

For example, TMF (the aforementioned ETF stock market ticker) has an annual expense ratio of 1.06% even before roll cost, compared to 0.03-0.1% for simple stock ETFs. And then there’s the fact that long-duration, rate-sensitive Treasuries were brutalized last year.

Here is TMF’s performance over the past five years:

Price ($) line chart showing TMF's big long bear

But as Bloomberg’s Katie Greifeld points out, TMF suddenly seems to have sucked a bit amount of money from retail bettors betting that the legendary Fed pivot is on the way.

Size-wise, its nearly $2 billion in assets under management are still dwarfed by its unleveraged cousin, BlackRock’s $36 billion iShares 20+ Year Treasury Bond ETF, or TLT. Underlining the peak rate betting frenzy, TLT has raked in more than $10 billion this year.

But TLT is probably too quiet to qualify as the first ever meme bond. To use Katie’s terminology, it is cocaine bear energy is de minimis. While it’s still early days for TMF, if performance starts to match and eventually strengthens streams, you could see it gaining more traction on Reddit.

The fact that it has actually absorbed a net $2.4 billion of capital since inception and has already incinerated half a meter of it is certainly very meme.




https://www.ft.com/content/81ab55b6-d1dd-4102-bedb-beb6fbccbe9f
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