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Jaw-dropping: Tech VC’s switch from Blockchain to AI takes the investment world by storm!

Title: The Struggle of US Venture Capitalists as Valuations Rise

Introduction:

The United States’ venture capitalists are ruminating on how public tech stocks’ increasing valuations have led to a wave of excitement over artificial intelligence. Private markets, however, are yet to recover. Although start-ups are finding ways to generate revenue and avoid being left behind, this leaves billions of untapped capital investment on the sidelines. Despite being highly lucrative over the last decade, VCs are struggling to find new investments and are grappling to secure capital.

Why Are VCs Struggling?

Low global interest rates have led to a surge in risky, early-stage investments in recent years. The advantage of investing in tech start-ups is that their valuations increase over time, generating a higher profit than the initial investment. VC enterprises in the US set a new record of nearly $163 billion last year for VC funds, as reported by PitchBook. Companies like Tiger Global have raised an impressive $12.7 billion fund, with global venture capital organisations accumulating nearly $586 billion of ‘dry powder’, or unallocated capital, by October 2020. However, the tech downturn and the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank have made investment opportunities scarcity this year, making it difficult to secure capital from ‘limited partners’. Outside investments are declining, and capital that has been invested has slow returns that are insufficient to pay dividends to limited partners.

What Can VCs Do, What Are They Doing, And How Is It Working?

The limited partner’s anticipated outcomes and returns complicate venture capital. The VC’s management fees incentivise them to put money to work, making it challenging to extract capital from investments’ portfolios. Additionally, as investors with less capital are often forced to close or downsize, VCs may also take the natural step to downsize their funds. Some VC enterprises, such as Accel Partners, have established a limited partner-free fund option. However, management fees would require VCs to put the raised capital to work, saving it from being lost. One potential solution could be to redirect funds from collapsed crypto start-ups towards booming AI.

Paradigm has already broadened its focus on directing their fund’s capital towards where they see growth potential. Industry mogul Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund has lowered their flagship fund’s size, but this capital would be transferred to a future fund rather than releasing his claim. Unfortunately, success in one portfolio could lead to failure in another, so ‘bait, wait, and redirect’ strategies must be employed.

Engaging Piece:

The US venture capital industry has a severe problem: whilst booming on the surface, the industry’s success might be in peril due to the lack of exit opportunities for traditional venture capital-backed companies. IPOs and acquisitions are declining in numbers, reducing the motive for VC investments in these firms. A 2019 study by Pitchbook revealed that roughly 74% of US venture capital investments made in previous years are expected to be entirely returned to investors by 2023.

However, this does not include any forward-looking investments, which might ‘delay’ the inevitability of an exit for VCs. Universities like MIT are waiting rather than investing in companies that haven’t been fully tested by the market. In doing so, they delay investment decisions until these companies gain traction and reach critical mass, indicating that investors can expect an ROI.

AI is at the Forefront of Investors’ Minds.

The stagnation of IPOs and acquisitions serves as an undertone against the current excitement surrounding Artificial Intelligence (AI). The tech downturn triggered by COVID-19, cryptocurrency crashes, and the occasional breaching of capital by accelerators has left AI as one of the primary interests of venture capitalists. This interest has taken the form of industry insiders like All Raise, which focuses its entire fund on start-ups with high potentials for AI.

Additionally, open-source artificial intelligence platforms have emerged, democratizing the proprietary nature of AI. The democratization of AI allows for more start-ups to participate in its application and further the technology’s innovations.

Conclusion:

The venture capital industry has experienced a significant uptick in subsequent investments for emerging technology, generating lots of excitement and capitalising on the rise in AI. However, many start-ups are still not generating the necessary revenue to become unicorns, resulting in untapped capital sitting in the sidelines waiting for limited cash partners. In the meantime, downsizing of funds and re-direction of capital fuels the belief that AI investments will see substantial benefits, pushing it to the forefront of investor’s minds. As investors wait for promising opportunities, AI seems a secure fallback option for generating returns on investments.

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US venture capitalists are hoping a rising tide will save them from admitting that some investments are stuck in the mud.

Valuations of public tech stocks are climbing amid generative excitement artificial intelligence. But private markets are yet to be recovered. Start-ups are making money to avoid bearish rides. That leaves billions of dollars of potential investment sitting on the sidelines.

The last decade has been very prosperous for VCs. Low rates have pushed more money into risky, early-stage investments. Last year, it set a new record for VC funds. They’ve raised nearly $163 billion, according to data from PitchBook. Tiger Global, for example, closed a $12.7 billion fund. Global venture capital firms had nearly $586 billion of unallocated capital, so-called “dry powder,” by October last year.

The tech downturn and the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank have made it harder for fund managers to invest or secure capital this year. Distributions to outside investors, known as “limited partners,” are declining. Outputs are scarcer.

Data from PitchBook shows US venture firms raised less than $12 billion across 99 funds in the first quarter of the year. That’s down nearly three-quarters from a year earlier.

In the aftermath of the dotcom crash, a handful of US venture capital firms took the unusual step of downsizing their funds. Groups like Accel Partners have freed investors from some capital commitments.

Limited partners should not expect a repeat performance. Management fees give venture capital funds too much incentive to put money to work. One option is to redirect funds from disgraced crypto start-ups towards booming AI.

The change is already underway. Paradigm has broadened the focus of its fund. Peter Thiel’s Founders Fund is said to have reduced the size of its flagship fund. But he plans to transfer the pledged money to a future fund, not release his claim.

The pain of crypto startups could eventually become a payoff for AI specialists. It doesn’t exactly equate to a bait and switch to VCs. “Bait, wait and redirect” might be a more accurate description.


https://www.ft.com/content/5e9ed0cf-9448-4c2f-9953-08663fe8ad78
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