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Unbelievable! British Exporters Under Attack: EU’s Massive Carbon Tax Rains on Their Parade After Sunak’s Unexpected Climate Policy Setback!

Title: The Impact of Rishi Sunak’s Actions on UK Exporters Facing EU Carbon Taxes

Introduction:
Rishi Sunak’s actions have undermined the UK’s climate targets, resulting in British exporters facing significant challenges in the form of EU carbon taxes. The collapse of the UK’s carbon market, caused by weakened green initiatives by the Conservative government, has led to lower carbon prices compared to their EU counterparts. As a result, UK exporters to the EU will now be subjected to paying the EU tax when it comes into force in 2026. This article will explore the implications of these developments on British exporters and the potential consequences for the UK economy.

1. The Impact of Weakened Climate Provisions:
Rishi Sunak’s speech outlining weakened climate provisions, such as delaying the phasing out of petrol and diesel cars, has had a direct impact on the UK’s carbon market. Prices for the UK Emissions Trading System (UK ETS) have plummeted to a record low, while the EU equivalent (EU ETS) continues to trade at a significantly higher price. This divergence in prices means that UK exporters will face additional costs in the form of EU carbon taxes, impacting their competitiveness in the European market.

2. Implications for UK Industry:
The EU’s upcoming carbon border tax regime aims to penalize countries with lower carbon costs than those in the bloc. With falling carbon prices in the UK, UK exporters to the EU will have to pay the EU tax starting from 2026. This will result in a significant financial burden for British exporters, diverting revenue that would have otherwise flowed into the UK Treasury to Brussels. The potential loss of revenue for the Treasury could hinder investments in renewable industries within the UK.

3. Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism and its Impact:
The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), set to be implemented by the EU, will require countries exporting to the EU to demonstrate an equivalent carbon price by 2026 or pay penalties. This mechanism will cover various sectors, including iron, steel, cement, aluminium, fertilizers, hydrogen, and electricity generation. While the initial trial period only requires exporters to declare emissions without paying the tax, from 2026 onwards, the tax will be enforced.

4. Warning Signs for UK Electricity Industry:
The carbon import taxes imposed by the EU will also affect UK electricity exports, even if they have low emissions. As the EU cannot easily differentiate between electricity generated from clean or dirty sources, UK wind, solar, and nuclear farms exporting electricity to the EU may face significant challenges. This could potentially lead to the closure of wind farms and hinder the growth of the UK’s renewable energy sector.

5. The Future of UK Carbon Pricing:
Although the current weakness in the UK ETS may benefit producers with lower carbon prices in domestic markets and non-EU exports, proposals to link the UK and EU carbon markets face challenges due to the divergence in prices. The Office for Budget Responsibility initially predicted significant revenues from the UK ETS, but the collapse in prices suggests that these figures will be significantly lower. Additionally, the lack of investment plans using UK ETS proceeds further exacerbates the financial implications for the UK economy.

Conclusion:
Rishi Sunak’s undermining of the UK’s climate targets has had severe repercussions for British exporters facing EU carbon taxes. The weakened green initiatives and subsequent collapse of the UK’s carbon market have resulted in lower carbon prices and additional costs for UK exporters. The implementation of the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism will further impact UK industries, with the potential for significant financial losses and a shift in tax revenue from the UK Treasury to Brussels. Additionally, the UK’s electricity exports, including wind, solar, and nuclear energy, may also be subject to carbon import taxes, leading to potential job losses and hindrances in the growth of the renewable energy sector. The future of UK carbon pricing and its alignment with EU carbon markets remains uncertain, requiring careful considerations and proactive measures to mitigate the adverse effects on the UK economy.

Summary:
Rishi Sunak’s actions have resulted in UK exporters facing EU carbon taxes, as the collapse of the UK’s carbon market has led to lower carbon prices compared to the EU. This will divert revenue from the UK Treasury to Brussels, impacting the country’s renewable industries. The implementation of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism further adds to the financial burden on UK exporters. The UK’s electricity industry, including wind, solar, and nuclear energy, may also face challenges due to the carbon import taxes imposed by the EU. The future of UK carbon pricing remains uncertain, and proactive measures are necessary to address the repercussions on the UK economy.

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Rishi Sunak’s undermining of the UK’s climate targets has left British exporters facing hundreds of millions of pounds in EU carbon taxes at the borders within the next decade – revenue that would otherwise have flowed to the Treasury.

The UK’s carbon market, which sets the price that big producers and energy companies must pay for every tonne of CO₂ released, collapsed after the Conservative government weakened a number of green initiatives.

Emissions prices in the UK have fallen at less than half the EU equivalent in recent months, having previously traded near parity.

The EU’s upcoming carbon border tax regime will seek to penalize countries with substantially lower carbon costs than those in the bloc. As a result, falling carbon prices in the UK mean that UK exporters to the EU will become subject to paying the EU tax when it comes into force in 2026.

The lower price on emissions also means the UK Treasury will generate less revenue from carbon pricing; in effect the changes will divert some of companies’ carbon bills from Westminster to Brussels.

“UK industry will continue to pay for emissions on exports to the EU, but instead of going to the Treasury, the taxes will head to Brussels, which has earmarked these revenues for further investment in renewable industries,” Marcus said Ferdinand, chief analysis officer at carbon consultancy Veyt.

From Sunday Exporters to the EU will have to start recording carbon emissions embodied in their products as soon as the initial trial period of the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism, known as CBAM, begins.

According to the CBAM, countries that want to export to the EU must, from 2026, demonstrate that they have an equivalent carbon price in place or pay penalties to make up the difference. The aim is to protect EU industry from countries with less rigorous emissions markets.

The mechanism will cover iron, steel, cement, aluminium, fertilisers, hydrogen and electricity generation. During the trial period exporters only need to declare emissions without paying the tax.

Prices for the UK Emissions Trading System (UK ETS) fell to a record low of almost £33 a tonne last week, the day after Sunak’s speech setting out weakened climate provisions, such as delaying the phasing out of petrol and diesel cars. The UK ETS peaked at almost £100 a tonne last year.

The EU equivalent, known as the EU ETS, trades at €82 a tonne (£71.10).

“The total amount that UK exporters would pay to the EU could easily reach hundreds of millions of pounds by the start of the next decade the carbon price gap remains,” Ferdinando said.

The UK energy industry warns that despite producing low emissions, exports of electricity from wind, solar and nuclear farms will also be subject to carbon import taxes.

With more than 40% of the UK’s electricity still generated by burning gas or coal, a similar portion of the CBAM tax will be applied to all UK electricity imports, as the EU cannot easily say whether the imported energy comes from from clean or dirty sources, the industry Body Energy UK has warned.

“It’s a really big problem as UK wind farms that had planned to send a lot of what they generate to the EU on very windy days could find themselves out of business,” said Adam Berman, deputy director of Energy UK.

“For manufacturers, UK companies exporting to their largest market will have a very significant tax imposed on them which will go to the EU budget when it would once have gone to the exchequer.”

CBAM will be phased in from 2026, to reach its full force by 2034, when free emissions allowances for industry in the EU will be phased out.

It is possible that the UK ETS will strengthen relative to the EU ETS in the coming years, while producers could benefit from lower carbon prices in domestic markets and non-EU exports.

But current weakness has made proposals to link the two carbon markets, a solution favored by much of heavy industry and the energy sector, challenging.

Line graph of the share of integrated emissions from imports covered by CBAM (%) showing the increase in EU CBAM from 2026

The Office for Budget Responsibility predicted in March, before the collapse of the UK carbon price, that revenues from the UK ETS would amount to almost £37 billion or around £6 billion a year between 2022 and 2026. This is up from just £1 billion in 2021-2022.

But the halving of the price of the UK ETS since then means that expected revenues for the period are likely to be much lower. The UK has not set aside proceeds from the UK ETS for green investment, meaning they can be used by the Treasury for general spending.

The Government has been contacted for comment.

Additional reporting by Jim Pickard and Chris Giles in London and Alice Hancock in Brussels

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