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VinFast: A Closer Look at the Vietnamese Automaker’s Market Listing

Introduction

VinFast, the Vietnamese automaker, recently made headlines with its listing via a Special Purpose Acquisition Company (SPAC). However, the circumstances surrounding its listing have raised concerns among market observers. In this article, we will delve deeper into VinFast’s market debut, its current market capitalization, and the implications for investors.

Questionable Market Debut

Alphaville contributor Craig Coben highlights some troubling aspects of VinFast’s listing. While press articles mention that the Vietnamese presidency controls 99% of the newly listed company, Coben argues that this is more than just a passing detail. It raises red flags about the company’s corporate structure and accountability. VinFast’s listing appears to be more like a list of backdoors in an empty shell rather than a conventional de-SPAC transaction. As a result, the stock price may be seen as an arbitrary number on a screen, rather than a reflection of the market’s true assessment of the company’s value.

Lack of Free Float and Low Trading Volumes

VinFast’s market debut has also been marked by a lack of free float and low trading volumes. Coben points out that VinFast’s free float is less than 1%, which means that only a minuscule portion of the company’s shares are available for public trading. This lack of free float reduces price discovery and liquidity, two essential factors that should be provided by a public listing. Additionally, trading volumes for VinFast have been diminishing, further highlighting the lack of investor interest and participation in the stock.

The VinFast Market Capitalization Game

To bring some attention to VinFast’s market performance, FTAV proposed a game for Alphaville readers. The challenge was to guess VinFast’s market capitalization at the close of the market on a particular day. The winner would be rewarded with a free t-shirt from the FT gadget shop. With predictions ranging from $37 billion to $131.5 billion, it was clear that participants had diverse assumptions about VinFast’s market value.

A Lackluster Performance

Despite the excitement surrounding the game, VinFast’s market capitalization has remained relatively unchanged. It settled at an $85.4 billion market cap, far from the highest guess of $131.5 billion. This lack of movement raises concerns about the stock’s performance and stability. With such stagnant growth, it seems that VinFast is struggling to generate interest and confidence among investors.

And the Winner Is…

The winner of the VinFast market capitalization game was Jestyn Thirkell-White, a digital marketing paramount at UBS. His guess came closest to the actual market cap of VinFast, earning him the title and the coveted t-shirt. This victory brings some positive news for the Swiss banking sector amidst the underwhelming performance of VinFast.

Conclusion

VinFast’s market listing via SPAC has raised many eyebrows due to its questionable corporate structure and low free float. The lack of price discovery and liquidity, coupled with diminishing trading volumes, have dampened investor enthusiasm for the stock. Despite a game designed to generate interest, VinFast’s market capitalization has remained stagnant. The winner of the game, Jestyn Thirkell-White, now enjoys a moment of triumph amidst the stock’s lackluster performance. It remains to be seen whether VinFast can turn the tides and regain investor confidence in the future.

Additional Piece: The Oddities of SPAC Listings

Special Purpose Acquisition Companies, or SPACs, have gained significant popularity as a way for companies to go public. However, VinFast’s listing highlights some of the peculiarities and risks associated with SPAC listings. Here are some key points to consider:

1. Lack of Transparency: The corporate structure and ownership details of companies going public via SPACs can be murky, as exemplified by VinFast’s listing. Investors should exercise caution and carefully examine the corporate governance of such companies before making investment decisions.

2. Limited Free Float: SPAC listings often result in a low free float, which can limit price discovery and liquidity. This lack of availability of shares for public trading can impact the stock’s performance and hinder investors’ ability to buy or sell shares.

3. Market Volatility: SPAC listings can be volatile, with stock prices fluctuating significantly in response to news and investor sentiment. This volatility can make it challenging for investors to assess the true value and potential of the company.

4. Regulatory Oversight: The regulatory oversight of SPACs remains a topic of debate. As these listings become more common, regulators are likely to scrutinize them more closely to ensure investor protection and market integrity.

In conclusion, while SPACs offer an alternative path to going public, investors should be aware of the risks and peculiarities associated with these listings. It is crucial to thoroughly research and assess the fundamental strength and transparency of companies going public via SPACs before making investment decisions.

Summary

VinFast, the Vietnamese automaker, recently made its market debut through a SPAC listing. However, concerns have been raised about its corporate structure and the lack of free float and trading volumes. Despite a game to generate interest, its market capitalization remains stagnant. The winner of the game, Jestyn Thirkell-White, now enjoys a moment of triumph amidst VinFast’s lackluster performance. This article also highlights the oddities and risks associated with SPAC listings, emphasizing the importance of careful evaluation and research before investing in such companies.

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In an article on Monday, Alphaville contributor Craig Coben warned of VinFast, the Vietnamese automaker listed via SPAC last week. He has written:

All press articles mention that the presidency controls 99% of the newly listed VinFast. But this is not just an aside: it is history. This is no conventional de-Spac; rather it looks like a list of backdoors in an empty listed shell. And the stock price is just an arbitrary number on a screen, not the market’s judgment of the company’s value…

VinFast has a free float of less than 1% and trading volumes are low and declining. A public listing should provide price discovery and liquidity; VinFast stock has neither.

How’s it been since then? Well, um:

FTAV is as excited about this well-functioning market as anyone, so we propose a little game: Alphaville reader who can guess VinFast best close of market capitalization for today (Wednesday) you will win a free t-shirt of our gadget shop.

To enter, simply email your name and guess to alphaville@ft.com before the US markets open (2.30pm UK time/9.30am EST) today.

We will let you know the winner tonight after the US markets close.

UPDATE – REGISTRATION CLOSED: Time out. We had a variety of assumptions, with an average mean of about $60 billion and a modal mean of $69.420 billion. Let capitalism do its thing…

UPDATE 2 — IT’S QUIET… TOO QUIET:

UPDATE 3 — WOMP WOMP: So, uh, VinFast has barely budged, settling on an $85.4B market cap for Google (Yahoo! earns $85.9B, Alphaville is currently nowhere near a Bloomberg terminal):

…which means WE HAVE A WINNER: a reader who guessed just under $90 billion. While we wait to see if they want to be identified, here are the key stats you need to know:

— Highest guess: $131.5 billion
— Lowest hypothesis: 37 billion dollars
— Average hypothesis: $62.5 billion
— Median hypothesis: $69.4 billion

Unfortunately you were mostly off track, and the efficient markets hypothesis was completely confirmed.

UPDATE 4 — THE 👑: And the winner is… Jestyn Thirkell-White, digital marketing paramount at UBS (who, of course, attended in a personal capacity). Finally some good news for the Swiss banking sector!

Further reading
Attention, an oddity of the Spac 2023

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